Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004601 0.004848 0.005102 0.005382 0.005685 0.006001 0.006356
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004226 0.004600 0.005001 0.005467 0.005992 0.006571 0.007260
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003945 0.004388 0.004877 0.005462 0.006147 0.006929 0.007897
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003711 0.004196 0.004745 0.005419 0.006230 0.007183 0.008404
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003487 0.003996 0.004583 0.005318 0.006223 0.007315 0.008753
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003306 0.003833 0.004451 0.005238 0.006228 0.007450 0.009101
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003192 0.003742 0.004397 0.005246 0.006335 0.007710 0.009616
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002997 0.003541 0.004197 0.005059 0.006180 0.007620 0.009656
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002915 0.003476 0.004162 0.005076 0.006286 0.007870 0.010165
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002893 0.003485 0.004217 0.005209 0.006548 0.008338 0.011001
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002789 0.003383 0.004126 0.005144 0.006538 0.008433 0.011307
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002709 0.003309 0.004068 0.005120 0.006580 0.008599 0.011723
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002616 0.003217 0.003984 0.005059 0.006572 0.008696 0.012048
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002583 0.003202 0.004001 0.005136 0.006759 0.009083 0.012843
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002522 0.003147 0.003961 0.005132 0.006829 0.009300 0.013384
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002451 0.003077 0.003898 0.005092 0.006844 0.009433 0.013796
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002366 0.002984 0.003802 0.005000 0.006776 0.009434 0.013987
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.002905 0.003721 0.004926 0.006732 0.009469 0.014234
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002250 0.002867 0.003697 0.004933 0.006809 0.009696 0.014824
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002150 0.002747 0.003553 0.004761 0.006604 0.009463 0.014594
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002116 0.002719 0.003538 0.004777 0.006690 0.009702 0.015215
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002119 0.002740 0.003593 0.004899 0.006947 0.010233 0.016406
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002064 0.002679 0.003529 0.004840 0.006912 0.010276 0.016692